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Europe Roundup: Sterling dips ahead of BoE meeting, Scottish elections, European shares dips ,Gold retreats from 2-month high, Oil rises on U.S., Europe demand growth optimism-4th May,2021

Posted at 04 May 2021 / Categories Market Roundups


Market Roundup

•French Mar Government Budget Balance  -60.1B, -47.5B previous

•UK Net Lending to Individuals 11.3B, 4.9B previous

•UK Mar Mortgage Approvals  82.74K, 92.30K forecast, 87.70K previous

•UK Mar BoE Consumer Credit  -0.535B, -0.500B forecast, -1.246B previous

•UK Mar Mortgage Lending  11.83B, 5.80B forecast, 6.20B previous

•UK Apr Manufacturing PMI  60.9, 60.7 forecast, 58.9 previous

Looking Ahead - Economic Data (GMT)

•12:30 German Imports 258.30B previous

•12:30 German Exports 187.30B previous

•12:30 Canada March Building Permits (MoM)  2.0%,2.1% previous         

•12:30 Canada March Trade Balance  0.70B forecast, 1.04B previous        

•12:30 US March Trade Balance  -74.50B forecast, -71.10B previous

•12:30 Canada March Imports  48.82B previous

•12:30 Canada Exports  49.86B previous

•12:55 Redbook (MoM) -17.2% previous

•12:55   Redbook (YoY) 13.9% previous

•13:45 April US ISM-New York Index  804.5 previous

•13:45 April US ISM NY Business Conditions  37.2% previous

•14:00 US April IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism 56.4 previous

•14:00 US Mar Factory Orders (MoM) 1.3% forecast, -0.8% previous

•14:00 US Mar Durables Excluding Defense (MoM)  0.5% previous

•14:00 US Mar Factory orders ex transportation (MoM)  -0.6% previous

•15:30 New Zealand GlobalDairyTrade Price Index -0.1% previous

Looking Ahead - Economic events and other releases (GMT)

•17:00 US FOMC Member Daly Speaks

Fx Beat 

EUR/USD: The euro declined against dollar on Tuesday as investors weighed chances that interest rates will be forced higher by a roaring U.S. economic recovery and awaited upcoming data and policy speeches for clues. Tuesday's recovery reversed losses suffered on Monday after a weaker than expected U.S. manufacturing survey report. Despite the fact that April's survey numbers were lower than March, yet the U.S. economic recovery remained steady with price pressures rising Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.2168 (16th Feb high), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.2197 (61.8%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.2123 (38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.2046(38.2%fib).

GBP/USD: Sterling dipped against the dollar on Tuesday with potential volatility expected   ahead of Thursday’s Bank of England meeting and the Scottish parliamentary elections. The BoE is expected to announce tapering, or a reduction in the pace of its bond purchases at its meeting. Meanwhile, the Scottish National Party (SNP) is expected to win a majority in Scottish parliament, which some see as a risk for Britain. Sterling was 0.35% lower to the dollar by 11:40 GMT at $1.3858 . Against the euro it rose 0.2% to 86.58 pence. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.3922 (23.6%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.4005(Lower BB).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.3808 (38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.3761 (100DMA).

USD/CHF: The dollar strengthened against the Swiss franc on Tuesday as investors awaited upcoming data and policy speeches for clues. Tuesday’s bounce reversed losses sustained on Monday after a disappointing U.S. manufacturing survey report, leaving it 1% above a one-month low struck last week.Though April’s headline survey numbers were lower than March, the U.S. recovery remained firmly on track with price pressures rising, while the Federal Reserve appeared to be in no hurry to tighten. Immediate resistance can be seen at 0.9151(38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 0.9171 (21DMA).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 0.9087 (23.6%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 0.9061(Lower BB).

USD/JPY: The dollar gained against the yen on Tuesday as the dollar rebounded from a fall in the previous session triggered by weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data. The dollar drifted higher, pausing a month long decline as investors consider whether a roaring U.S. economic recovery may force interest rates higher, looking to upcoming economic data and policy speeches for clues. Japan and mainland China’s markets remained closed on Tuesday for holidays dampening trading volumes across the region. Strong resistance can be seen at 109.43 (38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 109.81(Higher BB).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 108.86 (50%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 108.78 (20DMA).

Equities Recap

 European shares inched lower on Tuesday as an early boost from commodity, bank and travel stocks was offset by losses in highly valued technology companies and automakers.

At (GMT 12:10),UK's benchmark FTSE 100 was last trading down at 0.00 percent, Germany's Dax was down by 1.45 percent, France’s CAC was last down by 0.39 percent.

Commodities Recap

Spot gold was down 0.6% to $1,782.45 per ounce, after hitting its highest since Feb. 25 at $1,797.75 on Monday.


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